2013 Annual PAPOR Conference Agenda and Presentations

December 12-13, 2013 | Marines’ Memorial Club & Hotel, San Francisco

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12, 2013
8:00am – 10:30am	Short Course 1: Achieving Synergy Across Survey Modes: Mail Contact with Web Response from Address-Based Samples
	Instructor – Don A. Dillman, Washington State University
10:30am – 10:45	Mid-Morning break – Sponsored by Ciruli Associates and Directions In Research
10:45am – 1:15pm	Short Course 2: Maximizing the Accuracy of Online Surveys: Comparisons of Methods and Recommendations of Optimal Procedures
	Instructor – Jon A. Krosnick, Stanford University
2:00pm – 2:05pm	2013 Conference Welcome – Bob Davis, Davis Research
2:05pm – 3:35pm	Panel 1: Polarization in the Public and Techniques for Measurement
	Chair – Kyle Dropp, Dartmouth College
	Do Open Primaries Help Moderate Candidates? An Experimental Test on the 2012 California Primary – Doug Ahler, University of California, Berkeley
	Appropriators Not Position Takers: The Distorting Effects of Electoral Incentives on Congressional Representation – Justin Grimmer, Stanford University – Paper
	How Does Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Perform with Conventional National Surveys? – Ben Highton, University of California, Davis
	In the Eye of the Beholder: Ideological Polarization, Partisan Affect, and Electoral Accountability – Gaurav Sood, Stanford University
4:00pm – 5:30pm	Panel 2: Polling on Health and Social Issues
	Chair – Sonja Petek, Public Policy Institute of California
	California Voter Views of the Affordable Care Act and its Implementation – Mark DiCamillo, The Field Poll – Presentation
	California’s Uninsured and the Affordable Care Act: The Kaiser Family Foundation Baseline Survey – Liz Hamel, Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation – Presentation
	Gender Disparities in VA Healthcare; Obtaining Approval to Conduct a VA Survey of Women Veterans – Barbara Simon, VHA Greater Los Angeles Department of Health Services Research & Development
	Attitudes towards Homosexuality and Gay Rights across Time and Countries – Tom W. Smith, NORC at the University of Chicago
5:30pm – 6:15pm	Welcome Reception
6:15pm – 8:45pm	Dinner and Plenary: Privacy, Confidentiality, and the Use of Data
	Moderator – Mollyann Brodie, Kaiser Family Foundation
	Panelists – Lee Rainie, Pew Research Center and Victoria Stodden, Columbia University
	Wine sponsored by Apperson – Dinner sponsored by Davis Research, Google, and ISA
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2013
8:30am – 10:00am	Panel 3: Validating New Methodologies – Incorporating and Embracing the Future
	Chair – Paul Johnson, SSI
	How Does the Online Survey Mode Affect Answers to a Customer Feedback Loyalty Survey? – Aarti Gupta, Bain & Company, Inc. – Presentation
	Material Welfare and Changing Political Preferences: The Case of Support for Redistributive Social Policies – 2013 PAPOR Student Paper Competition Winner – Lindsay A. Owens, Stanford University – Presentation
	Replication of Experimental Results across Telephone and Internet Survey Panels – 2013 PAPOR Student Paper Competition Runner-up – Henning Silber, Stanford University
	Evaluating the Accuracy of Surveywall Survey Responses – Tom Wells, The Nielsen Company – Presentation
10:00am – 10:15am	AAPOR Presentation – Jennifer Hunter Childs, AAPOR Associate Membership and Chapter Relations Chair
10:15am – 10:45am	Poster Session and Break – Sponsored by Goodwin Simon Strategic Research, Loyola Marymount University, and Marketing Systems Group
10:45am – 12:15pm	Panel 4: Predicting the Unpredictable – Modeling Turnout in Unprecendented/Special Elections
	Chair: Ben Tulchin, Tulchin Research
	Paul Mitchell, Political Data, Inc. – Presentation
	Chris St. Hilaire, MFour Mobile Research
	Ken Strasma, HaystaqDNA
	Ben Tulchin,Tulchin Research – Presentation
12:30pm – 2:00pm	Lunch and Chapter Meeting – Sponsored by Abt SRBI and SSI
2:00pm – 3:30pm	Panel 5: Big Data, Paradata and Their Uses for Public Opinion Researchers
	Chair: Sarah Cho, SurveyMonkey
	What is Big Data? – Todd Lipcon, Cloudera – Presentation
	Big Data Will Kill Survey Research – Truth or Myth? – Shankar Sahai, StrongView – Presentation
	The Multi-level, Multi-source (ML-MS) Approach to Improving Data Quality in Surveys – Tom W. Smith, NORC at the University of Chicago – Presentation
	Experimental Research, Machine Learning, and the Next Generation of Microtargeting Models – Andrew Therriault, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
3:30pm – 3:45pm	New President’s Address and Conference Closing – Sarah Cho, SurveyMonkey, 2014 PAPOR President